Experts differ on the timetable for that eventuality.
Caesarea, April 8 – Yet another electoral stalemate in Israel has the citizenry bracing for another contest as early as this coming summer, which will mark the fifth time in four years for the same exercise in futility, in keeping with what analysts now believe stems from the incumbent prime minister’s plan to gradually disillusion all citizens from the country’s democratic system except himself, at which point his ballot will account for 100% of eligible votes, giving his party all 120 Knesset seats.
Israeli parliamentary elections two weeks ago resulted in a familiar outcome: two opposing factions, neither of which could muster the 61-seat majority that secures a coalition, plus an assortment of smaller, potential kingmaker parties who may or may not be amenable to joining a coalition on terms acceptable to the other members. Even the governments that have emerged from such contests in the last several years have proved short-lived, necessitating another round of elections long before the standard four-year term would otherwise elapse. Experts examined the growing, consequent burnout and sense of futility among the electorate and determined that if the current trend continues, Binyamin Netanyahu will eventually be the only Israeli left who thinks his vote will make a difference, and will thus secure victory in whichever election that occurs.
The experts differ on the timetable for that eventuality. “I think it could happen by 2025,” predicted Voice of Israel Radio political commentator Hanan Crystal. “The more elections happen, the faster the breakdown in voter confidence, the more acute the decline in participation. We’re on track for zero voters less than half a decade from now. If Bibi stays in politics that long, he’ll be the last man standing. This is especially the case since most of the mainstream media has had it in for Netanyahu for a long time, for various reasons, some better than others, but that hasn’t budged the needle on the number of voters his party attracts – it keeps hovering around the thirty mark. Obviously those are an enthusiastic bunch with a heavy dose of denial, so in the end they might not stop voting at all, which would bring about the predicted results even more quickly.”
Others believe the process will take longer. “I’d give it a good ten or fifteen years,” allowed newspaper columnist – and longtime Netanyahu critic – Nahum Barnea. “I wouldn’t be a card-carrying leftist if I didn’t think it possible to indoctrinate people with my polemics. So I still think there’s hope to forestall this democratic decay, and hope Bibi kicks the bucket before he wins an outright majority in Knesset. If he stays, though, I’m leaving Israel just like all the people who vowed to leave when Likud won in 1977 and again when Bibi won in 1996 and again in 2012, 2015, and so on. We’ll leave at some point, I promise.”
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