Pollsters Already Surveying Voters For Fifth, Sixth Elections

“We actually see Netanyahu as lame-duck prime minister serving almost as long as he has at the head of a full-fledged government.”

Tel Aviv, March 11 – Political and statistical groups confirmed today they intend to get a head start on the inevitable multiple rounds of parliamentary elections in Israel’s short-term future, and have begun formulating questions and identifying target groups to sample so they can hit the ground running when the current stalemate results in a new inconclusive contest in the fall, followed by at least two others next year.

Market research and political consultant organizations disclosed Wednesday that a fourth round of elections in August or September this year has all but become assured, given the inability of either major political bloc to achieve a majority of the Knesset’s 120 lawmakers for a governing coalition, and that the situation will in all likelihood persist through fifth and sixth rounds – sometime at the beginning of 2021 and then again toward June. As such, the pollsters and consultants have already structured their calendars to account for the surveying, statistics, and analysis work they will perform before, during, and after those times.

“We’re looking at two more or less certain rounds of elections,” stated Cora Layshin of Geocartographia. “The surprising stamina of the electorate through the first three runs signals that Israel has a good bit of political fight left in its conflicting factions, and this could, according to some models, take us through the next two, two-and-a-half years with a caretaker government. It’s still somewhat early to predict what will happen after the middle of 2021, but we shouldn’t be too surprised if the status quo extends beyond that.”

“We actually see Netanyahu as lame-duck prime minister serving almost as long as he has at the head of a full-fledged government,” predicted Kai Skver of Mina Tzemach. “This time around Blue and White won’t be able to cobble together a viable coalition, even with the flirting with the Arab parties, and Netanyahu has already failed. New elections are just a matter of time. But the electoral map hasn’t shifted much in the last year or so since this series of elections began, so look for more of the same in late summer. Our operations, and the business we’re in, requires us to forecast beyond that point to anticipate opportunities, and yeah, we’ve identified this as the emerging trend at least through summer 2021.”

“One thing that politicians might want to pay attention to,” he added, “is the small but growing number of eligible voters who have become tired of the paralysis of the current system and crave something a little more in keeping with the region.”

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